Tesla CEO Elon Musk arrives at a special event in the company’s new Model 3 electric vehicle on Friday, July 28.
Tesla/Screenshot by NPR
While more than 500,000 people have put down a deposit for the privilege of owning Tesla’s new Model 3, according to the company, 30 employees were the lucky few to receive their vehicles first.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk took the stage at a companywide event in Fremont, Calif., on Friday night to handover the vehicles, just a few of the approximately half-million to put down $1,000 to eventually own an affordable long-range all-electric car.
“The whole point of Tesla is to make an affordable electric vehicle,” Musk told reporters early in the day. While Tesla gets much of the attention in the EV world, this week would be considered momentous even without Tesla.
Let’s consider the week:
- The Los Angeles Metropolitan Transportation authority, the nation’s second largest transit system with the nation’s largest bus fleet made an investment of $138 million in electric buses. It’s the first step in the city’s plan to take the bus fleet all-electric by 2030.
- California Gov. Jerry Brown signed legislation extending the “cap and trade” program aimed at reducing use of fossil fuels. The state’s “cap and trade” was first signed into law by then-Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger. It’s been a powerful tool for California’s already powerful air quality agency the California Air Resources Board. Schwarzenegger joined Brown at the signing ceremony.
- Great Britain followed France in announcing that it would ban the sale of new cars fueled by gasoline or diesel fuel by 2040. It’s part of a plans to phase out petroleum-fueled cars and light trucks altogether by 2050.
- Toyota Motor Corp is working on an electric car powered by a new type of battery, according to reports from Japanese paper Chunichi Shimbun. The battery is supposed to significantly increase driving range and cut charging times. The new battery technology is supposed to be in cars by 2022.
- Royal Dutch Shell’s CEO Ben Van Beurden said the company was focusing on the idea of oil prices that were “lower forever”. The company says it’s shifting its focus from oil to natural gas, and is planning on taking a bigger role in renewable energy so as not to miss out on a potential EV boom. Van Beurden also said he’s switching to an EV himself.
That’s the context in which Musk’s long-awaited affordable car enters the market. Musk heaped praise on the Model 3 calling it “safer than a Volvo.” Musk has said also in unequivocal terms that the company needs the Model 3 to succeed: “We finally have a great affordable electric cars, that’s absolutely what’s needed for us.”
During a test drive, the fully loaded version of a Model 3 had comparable handling, amenities of its more expensive siblings the Model X and Model S but, according to Musk, has “far fewer bells and whistles.” It’s likely a car that will satisfy Musk/Tesla enthusiasts. However, if you want those bells and whistles such as autonomy and extended range, the prices jumps much higher than the $35,000 tease rate up to nearly $60,000. Even with federal and the most generous state rebates, that’s out of the range of average driver.
The problem for Tesla, unlike other automakers, is not demand, but supply. “We’ve done everything we could to unsell the car,” says Musk.
Tesla would have to dramatically increase the scale of its production to fulfill the half-million orders. In 2016, the company produced fewer than 100,000 of its two best-selling cars. The company predicts it will be able to produce 250,000 of the new Model 3, eventually scaling up to half a million vehicles annually.
As Europe turns toward electric cars, California is doubling down and global leaders are preparing for the rise of EVs. Sales of electric vehicles have increased significantly in the last 18 months, but overall they remain a small fraction of overall sales. Analysts say gas-powered SUV and truck sales dominate the U.S. market at more than 60 percent.
A last bit of context: just two days before Musk took the stage, Ford’s Truck division turned 100 years old. Its F-150 remains the best-selling vehicle in the U.S. for 40 years in a row. So while the nation’s flirtation in EVs is piqued, its love affair with trucks endures.